Stocks are simple. All you do is buy shares in a great business for less than the business is intrinsically worth, with management of the highest integrity and ability. Then you own those shares forever. I will tell you how to become rich. Close the doors. Be fearful when others are greedy. Be greedy when others are fearful.

April 02, 2008

我的股市策略总结

什么情况下开始进入危险区,必须天天设好止失价格:
1). HSI PE在历史最高位附近
2). HSI突破BOLL通道的顶部
3). 高处下降5%
4). HSI离250天线大概有30%-50%左右距离
5). 巴菲特卖出之后

止损的价位,满足以下任何一个条件即需止损:
1. 跌破10/20天线
2. 不断创新高后离最高价跌4%
3. MACD,KDJ金叉
4. BOLL通道到顶小心


股价不断上升后,有断时间走平路,就要特别小心!

8-17下跌和10-30的本质不同:
1). 10-30的a浪下跌22天27%,但是8-17只下跌7天6.2%。

持有策略:未满足以上止损条件就持有
选股策略:
保险股
蒙牛,

Stock selection criteria:
ROE> 20%
PE<20
Profit margin > 30%
Profit annual growth > 30%

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