Stocks are simple. All you do is buy shares in a great business for less than the business is intrinsically worth, with management of the highest integrity and ability. Then you own those shares forever. I will tell you how to become rich. Close the doors. Be fearful when others are greedy. Be greedy when others are fearful.

June 13, 2008

中国人寿估值大分析

Shares total: 282.6

 

 

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

债券

1502 (40%)

2555 (51%)

3579 (52%)

4431 (52.1%)

 

 

 

股票

172  (4.6%)

395 (8.1%)

955 (13.9%)

1253 (14.74%)

 

 

 

定息存款

1755 (46.9%)

1648 (33%)

1755 (25.6%)

1686 (+19.8%)

 

 

 

现金

272 (7.2%)

280 (5.6%)

502 (7.3%)

253 (2.98%)

 

 

 

投资组合总数

3748 (100%)

4943 (100%)

6868 (100%)

8502 (100%)

 

 

 

比上年

 

+33%

+35%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

投资回报

100

164

465

 

 

 

 

投资回报率

2.7%

3.3%

6.8%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

纯利

71.7

93.06

199.5

 

 

 

 

比上年

 

+29.7%

+114%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

总资产

 

 

7270

8946

 

 

 

比上年

 

 

 

+23%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

股东资金

664

802

1396

1710

 

 

 

比上年

 

+20%

+74%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

EV

900

1139

1819

2525

3282

4266

5119 

per share EV (RMB) 6.4 8.9
9.79 HKD
11.57
12.7 HKD
15
16.5 HKD
18
19.8 HKD

 

 

+26.5%

+59.7%

+38%

+30%

+30%

+20% 

股价范围

3EV - 4EV

 

 

 

29-39

38-50

49.5-66

59-79 

 

 

 

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